TEXTE Environmental Impacts of Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems for Reduction of SOx on Ships — Analysis of status quo
Report compiled within the framework of the project ImpEx
3 Market analvsis
Recent studies about the EGCS market for the maritime industry have been identified and
reported in Table 1. Various studies such as DNV GL (2020), Lloyd’s List (Bockmann, 2020) and
Clarksons Research (2019) relied mainly on surveys by EGCS manufacturers for the data
collection. As in the work of Schmolke et al. (2020), information from GISIS was retrieved in
order to have data from an official and independent information source. GISIS is a public on-line
platform developed by the IMO Secretariat in compliance with the decision by IMO Members
requesting public access to sets of data provided by the Maritime Administrations and collected
Dy the IMO Secretariat (IMO, 2017). IMO has included in GISIS a section regarding the approval
of equivalence compliance methods by ships (Regulation 4.2 of MARPOL Annex VI), and
administrations are required to make entries into the database. This public information served
as a source to create a new database about the installed and approved EGCS worldwide. Data of
notifications made by 9 November 2020 were collected, including notifying party, IMO number,
approval date and details of the EGCS (manufacturer, model and type). The database was
complemented with data (such as ship name, ship type and year of construction) from the IHS
Markit database (2020).
For comparison purposes, the prognosis of the study of EnSys Energy and Navigistics Consulting
(2016) is included in Table 1 as MEPC 70/INF.9. This prognosis assumed that the ships, for
whom the installation and operation of an EGCS is economically advantageous, acquire an EGCS.
Table 1: Total number of ships with EGCS as reported by different information sources
Number of | EGCS-stand
ships
' Information source ?
Information stand ?
9,247
2,753 (+ 580)
3,137 DNV GL (Veracity Platform)
2,808 Clarksons Research 04/06/2019
2,788 | Installed and approved GISIS (IMO Platform) 9/11/2020
MEPC 70/INF.9 (EnSys Energy and Navigistics Consulting, 2016); Lloyd’s List (Bockmann, 2020); DNV GL (DNV GL, 2020);
Zlarksons Research (2019); GISIS (IMO, 2020)
It refers to the date by which the numbers are given and not necessarily the date of consultation. This is the case for the
information reported from MEPC 70/INF.9 and DNV GL. The date given for GISIS refers to the date at which the data
was collected; all notifications given by that date were considered.
iii) Number excludes some orders not yet linked to individual ships, which might increase the number up to “4,000.
31/12/2019
14/02/2020
31/12/2019
When comparing the numbers from Table 1, it is noticeable that the prognosis from MEPC
70/INF.9 overestimated the number of installations. On the other hand, the number of
notifications collected from GISIS are below the numbers given by the market studies. This
might be because not all member States have yet submitted information to GISIS, or the
notifications are delayed. However, it seems that data by GISIS will soon meet the numbers of
‘he market studies. GISIS entries have been observed regularly during the last year, and in
recent months the number of notifications has increased significantly.
Based on the data presented in Table 1 and the remarks noted above, it could be assumed that
the current actual number of ships with EGCS is above 3,000. This number represents 3.1% of
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