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Figure 3. Bias of winter (DJF) and summer (JJA) seasonal mean SST time series for NEMO-NBS and ROAM-NBS to Copernicus observa-
tion data for the whole NEMO-NBS domain (a), Open Atlantic (b), the North Sea (c) and the Baltic Sea (d).
which could be a hint at an underestimation of Atlantic on-
shelf transport (Ricker and Stanev, 2020) into the North Sea.
In Fig. 2b, the difference between the seasonal mean SST of
ROAM-NBS and NEMO-NBS is shown. The coupled sim-
ulation is generally slightly warmer than the uncoupled one,
especially in summer (JJA). The tuning of the cloud cover
scheme in ICON-CLM and ROAM-NBS reduced a positive
surface shortwave radiation bias over land and ocean, so that
it lies between +10 Wm”? (see Fig. Al) in the NBS re-
gion compared to CERES data. This reduction of the radi-
ation bias contributed to a decrease in the positive SST bias
in summer. However, it was not possible to reduce it further
by a tuning of the atmospheric part. Eddy diffusivity in the
eastern Atlantic was parameterized to be an order of mag-
nitude higher than in the western Atlantic, which may have
contributed to the cold bias observed near the French and
Portuguese coasts.
Time series of the spatial mean seasonal SST biases
against the Copernicus observations are shown for different
regions in Fig. 3. The outlines of these regions (Baltic Sea,
North Sea, Open Atlantic, and the whole domain) are shown
in Fig. 1. As for the bias maps, points with ice cover in the
observations were masked out for the calculation of the bi-
ases. For the whole domain, the area-averaged bias is about
-0.5K for both simulations in winter (DJF, Fig. 3a, upper
panel). In summer (JJA, Fig. 3a, lower panel), the bias is
slightly larger for NEMO-NBS (about —0.75 K), but smaller
for ROAM-NBS. However, this smaller bias for ROAM-NBS
in summer is due to the higher warm bias in the Atlantic
https:/doi.ore/10.5194/esmd-19-543-2026
(Fig. 3b, lower panel), combined with a negative bias in the
Baltic Sea (Fig. 3d). The magnitudes of the biases for the
Open Atlantic region and the North Sea are similar to those
for the whole domain, or even smaller. In these regions dur-
ing the summer season, ROAM-NBS is warmer than NEMO-
NBS by about 0.3 to 0.4 K. In the Baltic Sea region, the SST
biases in both simulations fluctuate around zero in winter
while reaching —0.75 to —1K during summer. As the spa-
tial averaging of biases may cancel out positive and negative
values, the time series of the RMSE are additionally shown in
Fig. A4. Especially in the Baltic Sea, the RMSE is, with val-
ues of about 1.5 K in summer, higher than the absolute values
of the mean bias. In the Open Atlantic and the North Sea, it
is comparable to or slightly higher than the mean bias, with
about 0.75 K in all seasons. The present SST biases in DJF
and JJA (Fig. 3) as well as the RMSE (see Fig. A4) in all sea-
sons and areas remain reasonably stable during the evolving
simulation. Thus, no accumulation of errors takes place. The
time series for the absolute area-averaged SSTs (see Fig. A4)
demonstrate that the year-to-year variability as well as warm-
ing trends in the North and Baltic Sea are well reproduced in
both simulations.
3.2 Meteorolosical conditions
3.2.1 Surface and near-surface temperatures
Over the ocean, the seasonal mean surface temperature dif-
ferences between ROAM-NBS and ERA5 (Fig. 4a) mainly
Geosci. Model Dev... 19. 543-578. 2026