El
,
V. Maurer et al.: Evaluation of coupled and uncoupled simulations
dalone ocean models are ideally forced by the output of
‚egional atmospheric models, the ocean simulations can
only be delivered with a considerable delay compared
to the global climate simulations due to the downscaling
chain. Thus, one advantage of using a regional coupled
ocean-atmosphere model for climate projections, compared
co the stand-alone ocean component, is the independence
of regional climate model (RCM) projections from CMIP6.
Moreover, the regional coupled model allows us to deliver
consistent information on climate and climate change for the
atmosphere and the ocean in the North and Baltic Sea (NBS)
‚egion, with a particular focus on the German coasts. For the
Baltic Sea region, a number of investigations using regional
coupled models were conducted within the framework of
Baltic Earth (https://baltic.earth, last access: 9 July 2025).
Gröger et al. (2021) review progress on coupled modeling
in that context. The investigations considered in the review
outline different aspects of the added value of regional
coupled models. Gröger et al. (2021) summarize that only
online coupled high-resolution ocean models can represent
small-scale ocean processes accurately. They also conclude
‘hat the demonstration of the added value of coupled models
over their uncoupled counterparts is often influenced by
biases in datasets, such as runoff, used for the forcing of
the uncoupled versions. Christensen et al. (2022) analyzed
RCM projections with and without ocean coupling, forced
by global climate model (GCM) simulations provided
with the fifth phase of the coupled model intercomparison
project (CMIP5S). Their focus was on climate change in the
Baltic Sea region. They showed that the coupled simulations
can exhibit differences in future sea surface temperatures
and sea ice conditions compared to the respective uncoupled
versions, which can locally modify the climate change
signal.
As shown by Gröger et al. (2021), different regional cou-
pled ocean-atmosphere models have been in use for the NBS
region. These are coupled versions of CCLM and NEMO
(e.g. Pham et al., 2014; Primo et al., 2019; Ho-Hagemann
et al., 2020), RCA4 and NEMO (Gröger et al., 2015; Di-
eterich et al., 2019), REMO and MPIOM (Sein et al., 2015),
or Hirham and HBM (Tian et al., 2013). Karsten et al. (2024)
present a recent development of a coupled ocean-atmosphere
model, which couples the atmosphere and the ocean com-
ponent (CCLM and MOM5, respectively) via an exchange
grid. Bauer et al. (2021) were coupling ICON and GETM
via an ESMF exchange grid. However, the ocean domains
of their coupled models only encompass the Baltic Sea, or
an even smaller domain in the case of Bauer et al. (2021),
which is merely a small part of the whole EURO-CORDEX
domain used for the atmosphere. A first version of a cou-
pled regional ocean-atmosphere model incorporating ICON
in climate limited-area mode (ICON-CLM) and NEMO was
presented by Ho-Hagemann et al. (2024). The modeling sys-
tem is called GCOAS’T-AHOL, just as its earlier version (Ho-
Hagemann et al... 2020). Ho-Hagemann et al. (2024) found
that the new version of GCOAST-AHOI could well capture
near-surface air temperature, precipitation, mean sea level
pressure, and wind speed at a height of 10 m. However, there
was a prevailing negative sea surface temperature (SST) bias
of 1-2 K, which they attributed to an underestimation of the
downward shortwave radiation at the surface.
Here, we introduce ROAM-NBS, a new version of a re-
gional coupled ocean-ice-atmosphere modeling system cov-
ering the full EURO-CORDEX domain for the atmosphere
and the North and Baltic Sea for the ocean. ROAM-NBS
combines the ICON-CLM atmosphere model (version icon-
2024.07) with the NEMOv4.2.0 ocean model and the Sea
Ice modelling Integrated Initiative (SI3) thermodynamic sea
ice model, coupled via OASIS3-MCT using a flux-based ex-
change approach. Compared to the version by Ho-Hagemann
et al. (2024), ROAM-NBS is based on a later NEMO version
and includes a new ocean bathymetry, which is specifically
designed for a good representation of the German coastline.
Moreover, our setup also integrates a refined treatment of
radiation in NEMO based on prescribed chlorophyll distri-
butions, supporting a realistic representation of shallow and
stratified shelf seas. With the use of a later ICON release,
a more recent NEMO version with major updates, higher-
resolution coastal bathymetry, and enhanced representation
of surface fluxes and radiation, ROAM-NBS represents a
methodological advance over previous GCOAST configura-
tions.
Using ROAM-NBS and different configurations of
GCOAST-AHOI described by Ho-Hagemann et al.
(2020, 2024), which all employ an online coupled ocean
for the NBS region, CMIP6 climate projections will
be downscaled for the EURO-CORDEX region (Jacob
et al., 2014). These coupled regional climate projections
will complement the RCM simulations of CORDEX-
CMIP6 (https://github.com/WCRP-CORDEX; last access:
23 May 2025). The simulation status is updated regu-
larly and can be viewed at https://werp-cordex.github.i0/
simulation-status/CORDEX_CMIP6_status.html#EUR-12
(last access: 23 May 2025). The evaluation simulation
analyzed in this article defines the setup of ROAM-NBS
that will be used for downscaling. In addition to publishing
the data on the ESGF nodes within the EURO-CORDEX
community, ROAM-NBS will be applied to generate an
ensemble of climate projections that can be used for climate
adaptation measures in German national waters. Related
evaluations will be published on https://das.bsh.de (last
access: 9 July 2025).
The comparison of coupled simulations against their un-
coupled counterparts, which are forced by high-quality re-
analyses like ERA5S (Hersbach et al., 2020) at the ocean-
atmosphere interface, can never be a fair one. Thus, the most
important added value of using a regional coupled model
for climate projections is not shown when evaluating the
reanalyses-driven evaluation simulation, where we can pro-
vide good forcing data for both components for uncoupled
Geosci. Model Dev... 19. 543578, 2026
https://doi.ore/10.5194/smd-19-543-2026