AM
N. Spangehl et al.: Intercomparing the quality of recent reanalyses for offshore wind farm planning
Wind speed, FINO1
45
10
35
30
25
20
15
10
(a)
Fa
Dataset
COSMO-REAG, 100 m
CERRA-fc, 100 m
CERRA-EDA, 100 m
ERA5, 100 m
HoKliSim-De, 100 m -
NEWA, 100m —-
FINO1, 102 m 160
18
Bi
z
I
©, N
GC 7
8 a
De 2
Q
Dr
7, >
Q a
5% 5
time [day]
„
X
Q
%
sr
Do, en
Wind speed, FINO1, 2013-10-28
n
45
40
{b)
35
30
25
Pf.
A
Dataset
COSMO-REAG, 100 m ——
CERRA-fc, 100 m
CERRA-EDA, 100 m
ERA5S, 100m —
HoKliSim-De, 100 m ----
NEWA, 100m — -
FINO1, 102 m 190
ME
u
a zz A
20
15
VL DA
0
%
J HELL Sn
Ob A907 9a IT RDI
time [hour]
Figure 4. Hourly wind speed at 100 m for model based products at FINO1 grid points during windstorm CHRISTIAN. Results are shown
for (blue solid curve) COSMO-REAG, (purple solid curve) CERRA-Tfc, (purple solid thin curves) CERRA-EDA, (cyan solid curve) ERAS,
(cyan dashed curve) HoKliSim-De and (red solid curve) NEWA. Results obtained from FINO1 measurements at 102 m (10 min averages)
are additionally shown (bold black dashed curve). The time period is (a) 25-31 October 2013 and (b) 28 October 2013.
3.2.1 Distribution of biases
For the ten-year time period comparison against the Scat-
;erometer and Model (e5) (CMEMS) dataset the median
as is nearly zero for ERA5 and COSMO-REAG6 (Fig. 5,
cop left panel). In 50% of the cases (lower to upper quar-
üle range indicated by the blue boxes) the bias is within
—0.2 to 0.2ms”!. Larger biases are found as indicated by
he whiskers.
The maximum negative bias of ERA5S is —3.1 ms”! in
contrast to the maximum positive bias of 0.9m s71! (Table 4).
A systematic shift towards positive bias values is found for
CERRA as indicated by the median bias of 0.2ms7! and
the lower to upper quartile ranging from 0.05 to 0.35 ms!
Adv. Sci. Res... 20. 109-128, 202:
Compared to ERA5 a similar maximum negative bias of
-3.1 ms”! is found compared to a larger maximum posi-
tive bias of 2.0ms7!. Larger maximum negative and pos-
itive biases of —3.7 and 2.2ms”7! are found for COSMO-
REAG6 (Table 4). Contrary to CERRA the bias distribution of
HoKliSim-De shows a shift towards negative values with the
median bias of about —0.2 ms”! (Fig. 5, top left panel).
A slight shift of the bias distribution towards positive
values is seen for ERAS5 and COSMO-REA6 when using
the HOAPS dataset as reference (Fig. 5, right panels). For
CERRA the shift towards positive bias values seen earlier
is confirmed. HoKliSim-De shows a marginal shift towards
negative bias values. Results confirm that HOAPS shows
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-20-109-2023