0 ©& N. SÜHRING ET AL.
In general, increasing uncertainty and variability
anderscores the need for fishery and aquaculture man-
agement to be flexible to respond to and learn from
anexpected shocks (Cochran et al. 2009; Grafton
2010). Adaptive co-management could be adapted as
a framework that provides some of the necessary flex-
ibility to cope with such climate change-induced varia-
bility and uncertainty (Armitage et al. 2009; Cochran
et al. 2009). Many informants noted the very diverse
local impacts one storm might have. Depending on
wind speed and direction or tidal surges, one harbor
may be suitable for the small boats to exit, whereas in
another community the next fjord over, the boats may
be stuck. These local impacts point to the importance of
local adaptation plans that take into account the very
detailed local knowledge and understanding of how
different forms of wave action and local oceanographic
conditions affect at-sea operations. The inclusion of
local knowledge in decision making was also deemed
a necessity by interviewees from aquaculture, who
pointed out that the people who work in the industry
have the best knowledge of what happens on the ground.
Local knowledge of weather processes could establish
schemes that allow locals to assess whether it is safe to
operate the net pen sites. If storms were to increase in
intensity and frequency in the future, informants noted
chat it would be necessary to enhance the knowledge of
he local area in addition to constantly upgrade and
mMaintain the equipment which is being used.
Future research needs to advance climate
adaptation of fisheries
Though this study highlights the need for more flexible
management due to uncertainties and variability in the
weather, it also reveals the need for extensive research to
advance climate adaptation of fisheries and to enable
such flexible management systems. Such research
based on an interdisciplinary approach lays the ground-
work for more effective decision making in adaptation
planning (Figure 5). Below, we discuss two areas of
uture needs regarding the findings of this research:
climate models and fishers’ behavior and adaptation
strategies.
Climate models, weather data, fishers’ behavior
To plan adaptation strategies, it is beneficial to have
access to that most up-to-date climate projections. As
weather is experienced subjectively by individuals and
:mpacts across marine sectors vary, precise and profes-
sional long-term climate modeling is necessary to
advance adaptation strategies of Icelandic fishing com-
nunities. Due to the high variability in weather condi-
äions in different locations in the Westfjords, local
models are crucial to the development of local adapta-
tion strategies. However, it is necessary to keep in mind
‘hat even state-of-the-art climate models contain
a certain level of uncertainty that needs to be accounted
for when planning adaptation strategies, A high
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Figure 5. Future research needs and directions based on interview findinas.