Naldmann et al.
unstable conditions are usually available from environmental
measurement series. Therefore, a time interval must be defined,
in which the measurement conditions can roughly be considered
as being approximately stable. This means, the standard
deviation should not exceed the change of the parameter in
that interval. An estimate for the change could be the difference
of the moving average at the beginning and the end of the
interval!. Then, assuming a normal distribution, fluctuation
ancertainty can be estimated by the standard deviation of the
data within this interval (equation 3). The interval should
however be large enough to have a minimum number of
values included (at least 10) to be statistically meaningful.
Otherwise, a factor, a, has to be applied that is given by the
student-£ distribution (GUM, 2008). Thus, the fluctuation
uncertainty of the #” temperature value T; is estimated by all m
values T;; in the chosen interval around the value T;:
„ (Ty-T)*
üfuc (Ti) =a zu, Ca 0 =a - STD; (egq. 3)
For instance, a 2 min interval in our measurement series
would include 12 data points for sensors 4, 5, and 6 (having a
sample rate of 6/min), which involves a student-£ factor of
4=1.05 (=1) for a 68% probability range (see Table G2 in
/GUM, 2008)).
Obviously, the sampling rate of a measurement series must
be sufficiently large so that a suitable interval can be defined. If
che sampling rate is too small to catch the fluctuation of the
measurement signal other ways must be found to estimate
fuctuation uncertainty. In this case it may be quantified by
independent experiments in the lab or simply based on the
experience of the scientist evaluating the data [so called type B
uncertainty (GUM, 2008)].
It must be emphasized that the time interval mentioned in
:his subsection is used to calculate an estimate for the fluctuation
uncertainty of a single (raw) data point, which reflects the
temperature variability seen in the insets of Figure 5. Likewise,
:he panel in the middle of Figure 4 shows the fluctuation
uncertainty of single temperature points in the measurement
period Pl (based on a 5 min interval). However, fluctuation
uncertainty of single points must be distinguished from that of
mean values. Fluctuation uncertainty of mean values, using a
5 min time interval as an example, will be discussed in the
next subsection.
{i) Temperature estimated by the arithmetic mean of values
measured in a 5 min interval (“5 min means”)
„A more sophisticated criteria would include a trend analysis. To this
and, a linear regression would be applied in the defined interval. If the
;lope of the regression line is smaller than the expanded uncertainty of
'he slope, the parameter can be considered stable.
Zrontiers in Marine Science
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10.3389/fmars.2022.1002153
An estimate for fluctuation uncertainty can be calculated
with the standard deviation of the mean of n values T;; within the
* 5_minute period:
(su (Ti-T)
Ufac (Ti)smin= a 1/ X; AR n-D a-SEM (egq. 4)
Here T; is the arithmetic mean over 5 min in the 7” time
interval, with nı = 30 for the sensors having a sample rate of 10 s,
and nı = 300 for sensors having a 1 s sample rate. a = 1 as n > 10.
The fluctuation uncertainty of the mean is obviously smaller
than that of a single result (see i) due to the additional factor
1/\/n. The fluctuation uncertainty of the mean is reflected by the
smoother behavior seen in the main parts of Figure 5 and the
smaller values illustrated in the lower panel of Figure 4.
„igure 6 on the left-hand side shows the combined,
expanded uncertainties of four sensors during a period with
low variability (P3). Their values are a few mK, they are largely
constant over the complete measurement time and are
dominated by calibration uncertainty as the temperature has
low variability. The sensor corresponding to the orange results
has a slightly larger calibration uncertainty. The dashed line
ndicates the expanded combined uncertainties of individual
‚esults, meaning representation (i) for comparison. Note that it
corresponds only to those sensors with smaller calibration
uncertainties. The uncertainty of the raw data is somewhat
larger, so that averaging is also advantageous under low
variability conditions.
The figure on right shows expanded uncertainties of the
5 min means during the period with high variability (P2). There,
che dashed line indicates the calibration uncertainty of the
sensors. The fluctuation uncertainty increases the expanded
uncertainty by about a few hundred’s Kelvin. It can also be
seen that those sensors measuring with higher time resolution
(sensor 1 & 3), have smaller fluctuation uncertainties compared
to those with lower sample rates (sensor 4 & 5) because of the
averaging, despite smaller fluctuations of the raw data of the
latter (see inset of Figure 5). Hence, it seems that larger numbers
of samples lead to less uncertainty in comparison to longer
integration times of the other two sensors. The uncertainty of the
'ndividual results is not shown, since it is too large to be shown
on that scale.
4.3 Data analysis based on multiple
sensor measurements
rigure 7 shows exemplary spreads of the results of four
sensors. Each result is the mean of a 5 min interval and is shown
as a colored dot. The uncertainty bar of each result indicates its
combined uncertainty as described in the previous section. The
ihree groups seen in Figure 7 belong to 3 different, but
subsequent 5 min intervals. Note that the results of each
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