MERCATOR OCEAN JOURNA:
SEPTEMBER 2021
The need to understand and validate the impact of the
ıncreased resolution has required an update of validation
and verification techniques. High-resolution observations
like gliders and high frequency (HF) radar have been
Jsed for assessing this new product. The NWS-MFC has
pulled through the neighbourhood techniques developed
by the Copernicus Marine Service SE Phase 2 HiVE project
(Crocker et al., 2020) to assess the impact of the resolution
on forecast fields. This methodology has also been used
very recently to compare NWS products with other
Copernicus Marine Service’s models, for regions where
they overlap.
In December 2020, the PHY and WAV forecast models have
been coupled, thanks to the work done during CMEMS SE
Dhase 1 projects Nemo2wave and OWAIRS (Lewis et al.,
2019). The PHY-WAV coupled system is coupled at hourly
frequency and has three wave-currents interactions:
- modification of surface stress by wave growth and
dissipation,
- Stokes-Coriolis forcing,
wave-height-dependent ocean surface roughness.
A study investigated the impact of the coupling on the
sub-surface dynamics during storm events, assessing
the accuracy of the currents against drifters (Bruciaferri
et al., 2021). It demonstrated that the coupling improves
the accuracy of the surface dynamics, with larger
improvementson shelf (8%) than in the deep part of the NWS
Forecast and Reanalysis number of users
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domain (4%). Figure 5 shows an example of Lagrangian
particles forced by the coupled and uncoupled version of
the model, compared with drifter trajectories. The choice to
focus on the horizontal current validation was user driven,
since the most downloaded forecast variable is the hourly
currents at 1.5 km resolution. Validation of ocean currents
is challenging due to lack of high-resolution observations
in this area. This R&D work was undertaken using drifters
and HF Radar and will lead the way for future validation
and verification processes for ocean currents.
“he tidal variation In the shoreline is appreciable in some
regions with a model resolution of 1.5 km. A significant
part of the coastal shelf area is very shallow and tidally
jdominated. NEMO version 3.6 does not allow grid cells to wet
and dry so a minimum depth (10 m) was imposed for wet
zells in shelf areas, where the tidal range is several metres.
This choice decreases the reliability of the model in very
shallow coastal areas. The processes of wetting and drying
have been implemented on NEMO version 4 and tested in
the NWS configuration (0’Dea et al., 2020). Including these
processes in the PHY model will improve the tidal signa
and the quality of the product in coastal area. NWS systems
will be updated to NEMO version 4 with wetting and drying
ın a future version, removing the imposition of a minimum
depth of 10 m. For the coupled PHY-WAV system this will
also Iinvolve running WAVEWATCH Ill with time-varying
water levels provided from the PHY model.
Forecast products users
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ıure &: Users statistics for groups of NWS products. The number of distinect users for each class of product are plotted.