MERCATOR OCEAN JOURNA:
SEPTEMBER 2021
3. The IBI-MFC wave forecast/analysis/reanalysis
component:
The IBI-MFC provides a short term (10-days) high-
resolution wave forecast product for the IBI area. The IBI
Wave system, based on the MF-WAM model, is today run
twice-a-day on a 1/20° grid, forced with the ECMWF hourly
wind data. The system assimilates significant wave height
(SWH) altimeter data, and it is off-line coupled with surface
currents provided by the IBI NRT ocean forecasts system.
The IBI WAV NRT forecast product, in operations since
December 2016, has been continuously upgraded with:
evolution of the model application (MFWAM model
upgraded in March 2019),
-enhancement of horizontal resolution (from the
ariginal 1/10° to 1/20°, changed in December 2019)
and extension of forecast horizon (up to 10 days
ahead since December 2020),
Iimprovements of bathymetry and atmospheric forcing
{since December 2019 using hourly winds, instead of
the original 3-hourly ones).
The first IBI WAV analysis product was delivered in July
2020, with applied the data assimilation of SWH altimetric
observations. Finally, IBI-MFC has made progress on the
wave-ocean coupling of their NRT PHY and WAV forecast
products. Thus, the impact of surface currents on waves
Was activated in July 2020, whereas the wave contributions
(Stokes drift and stress modification) in the IBI forecasted
5cean currents was included later, in December 2020.
The IBI wave forecasts are reliable and accurate, and the
product quality, as well as the potential enhancements,
are assessed by comparing IBI wave outputs (for
significant wave height, mean period and wave direction)
to observations, from both in-situ moorings and satellite
remote sensed products (Toledano et al., 2021). Figure 3
shows an example of accuracy level of the IBI WAV NRT
product when compared with the independent (non
assimilated) HY2A altimetric observations.
a) BI NRT WAV Validation {comparison with HY2A SWH (2014-2019)})
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b) 1BI MY WAV Validation (comparison with in-situ observations)
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‚igure 3: Top panels: Validation of IBI WAV NRT forecast product for SWH with the (non-assimilated) HY2A SWH Altimetry observations (Maps
of scatter index and bias, together with a scatter plot are shown). Bottom panels: Validation of IBI WAV MY reanalysis product with in-sitı
ıbservations: SWH RMSD at moored buoys; Taylor diagram showing comparison of the present IBI MY product (currently delivered through
che Copernicus Marine Service cataloaue) and the previous IBI wave reanalysis product released.