MERCATOR OCEAN JOURNA:
SEPTEMBER 2021
2. STATUS AT THE END OF COPERNICUS 1
By the end of the Copernicus 1 contract, the Baltic
production system is based on:
the ocean model code NEMOv4.0 (released 2019).
The model configuration and set up has been heavily
zalibrated to the Baltic Sea (see the Nemo-Nordic v2.0
description in Kärnä et al., 2021),
-the Biogeochemical model code ERGOM, with both
carbon and iron cycles included and online coupled
with the NEMOv4.0,
the wave sea state model code, WAMv4.6.2, offline
coupled with NEMOv4.0.
For the data assimilation, the LESTKF scheme from the
PDAF system is applied in both forecast and reanalysis
oroduction.
The coupling between the Baltic model sub-system
has evolved during the Copernicus 1 contract, from
two separate standalone systems for the wave and the
coupled 3D ocean-biogeochemical system, respectively,
to a coupled and harmonized production system. This also
included harmonizing the weather forcing dataset. The
goal in 2021 is to have all six Baltic Sea model products
in the Copernicus Marine Service data catalogue produced
ay this coupled system. The purpose Is to ensure seamless
products from a user point of view when investigating the
Baltic Sea conditions for the whole product period from
year 1993 and up to the latest forecast for the next 6 days
The Baltic MFC ocean forecast product is furthermore
included in a multi-model-ensemble product approach
together with other available forecast products for the Baltic
Sea produced by the national institutes. See the dedicated
website under the Baltic Operational Oceanographic
System and Golbeck et al., 2015 for further details
3. POST 2021 PERSPECTIVES
The Baltic MFC consortium plans to continue the coupling
activities, toenhance the number of processes and variables
that are exchanged between models and to move toward a
fully coupled system. Improving products in coastal areas
will also be a field of study. These activities will be plannec
in interaction with the national agencies. In the Blue ocean
system special focus will be on improving the important
inflow events to the Baltic Sea with saline and oxygenated
water. This will include implementation of new bathymetry
data, increased vertical resolution in the computational
Jrid, as well as introduction of 2-ways nesting grids in
areas with narrow passage and complicated coastline.
Focus will also be on surface layer dynamics by increasing
the wave-current interaction.
Developments in the Green ocean will focus on the optical
parameters, improve the forecast capability of algae
blooms, hypoxia and eutrophication processes. Further
Jjevelopment in data assimilation techniques would
ıower products biases and improve our quantitative
understanding of the processes (see for instance
Raudsepp et al., 2019 and Köuts et al., 2021). Additionally
new observation types and dataset will, when available, be
tested and included in the data assimilation (e.g., future
Sentinels and SWOT missions)