MERCATOR OCEAN JOURNA:
SEPTEMBER 2021
Tests with different turbulent schemes and albedo values
were performed to eliminate a cold surface temperature
bias. Some numerical schemes (e.g., using higher order
numerics) and parameterizations were optimized to
improve inflow and sea ice. Thereafter, vertical resolution
sensitivity on salt inflows was studied. This investigation
resulted in keeping the b6 vertical layers for the time being,
and an increase in resolution in the top layer.
Yalidation results from the final Nemo-Nordic 2.0 setup are
seen in Figure 1, 2 and 3 for sea level variations assessed by
tide gauge observations, the Baltic total ice extent estimated
by ice charts, and salinity observations from moorings,
respectively. Comparison of results between the old HBM and
new NEMO systems shows improvements in stratification
and the distribution of salinity in favour of the Nemo-Nordic
2.0 setup. Additional validation results are avallable on
the Copernicus Marine Service website. This new Nemo-
Nordic 2.0 based system (Kärnä et al., 2021) has provided
the operational forecast product since December 2020, and
will further be used for a new reanalysis production to be
started during 2021, planned to be released end of 2021 to
Copernicus Marine Service users.
The Baltic MFC wave analysis and forecast system is based
on the WAM wave model (Komen et al., 1994). The first
Baltic wave product, introduced into the CMEMS catalogue
in 2017, used WAM cycle 4.5.4 and an upgrade to cycle
4.6.2 was done in 2019 to enable coupling with the physicaı
forecast system. The model domain covers the Baltic Sea
with 1 nautical mile horizontal resolution with an oper
boundary in the Skagerrak area. At the open boundary
spectral-data from ECMWF'’s deterministic wave forecast
are used.
During the ice season, the ice conditions are accounted for
by excluding grid points in the calculations that have an ice
zoncentration over 30%. Ice concentrations at each model
grid point have been evaluated based on FMI's ice charts
‘available in the Copernicus Marine Service catalogue)
until December 2020. Subsequently, the wave production
system was updated to use hourly ice concentration from
the Baltic MFC NEMO based physical forecast. Using the ice
concentration forecast enables accounting for changing ice
conditions during the 5 days forecast (Tuomi et al., 2019).
Yowever, the accuracy of the ice forecast does not match
-he ice charts.
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igure z: Computed total ice extent from the HBM (V201804) and the NEMO (V202012) systems based on ice chart observations for a 2 year
period.
Northern Baltic Sea shorelines display an iIrregular
structure and, in places, covered with islands and islets
Much smaller than the model grid size. To account for
the effect this archipelago has on the attenuation of
wave energy, a method to handle unresolved islands
(e.g., Tolman, 2003) was implemented in the Baltic MFC
WAM model code. This method reduces the wave energy
propagated from one grid cell to the next one, according
to the shadowing effect caused by unresolved islands
The method improves the forecast quality and usability ir
zoastal areas such as the Archipelago Sea, between the
Baltic Proper and Gulf of Bothnia. For more information
see description in Le Traon et al., (2017)