MERCATOR OCEAN JOURNA:
SEPTEMBER 2021
2. STATUS AT END OF COPERNICUS 1
The Arctic MFC now offers twice as many products
as initially and include waves, tides and ocean carbon
variables. New products have up to 4 times higher resolution
compared to 2015, both horizontally and vertically and
adhere to Copernicus Marine Service standard naming
conventions. Products offered at the end of Copernicus 1.0
have improved performance, more targeted quality checks
and easy access to important monitoring indicators, which
make them better suited to user needs.
3. POST-2021 PERSPECTIVES
After having introduced a few independent products, it will
be necessary to improve their mutual consistency. The first
step should be to provide the physical forecast at higher
horizontal and vertical resolution. A second step will be to
synchronize the slow variability of the tidal model to the
data assimilative ocean forecast model. The consistency
Jetween waves and the ocean model can also be improved
Jusing wave input terms into the ocean model (Ali et al.
2019).
Ocean forecasts also need improved bathymetry data
around Greenland and near-real-time forecasts of river
discharge as from the Arctic-HYPE hydrological model. The
5cean reanalysis should assimilate sea level anomalies
from the SWOT mission, sea surface salinities from the
SMOS mission as prepared in the ESA Arctic+ Salinity
project. The standalone sea ice model should also include
the assimilation of sea ice deformations from Sentinel-1
SAR ice drift. When available, ocean and sea ice data frorr
the High-Priority Copernicus Missions CIMR and CRISTA|
should be assimilated too.
We also plan to distribute ensemble forecasts from the
TOPAZ system, and improve their uncertainty estimates by
matching them to ensemble predictions from the ECMWF.
Monitoring the quality of sea ice forecasts can also be
further enhanced (Palerme et al., 2019).
Ocean biogeochemistry products would benefit from a
longer (3 decades) multiyear timeseries. The ECOSMO
model would be improved by using a more advancec
sinking scheme developed in the SE project ZO0MBI anc
should include a sea ice biogeochemistry model.