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BERTINO, L.'. ALI, A.?. CARRASCO, A.?. LIEN, V.S.". MELSOM, A.}
Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, Norway - *MET Norway, Bergen, Norway - MET Norway, Oslo, Norway
“Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, Norway
OVERVIER”
During the 2015-2021 period, the Copernicus Marine
Service has diversified its Arctic portfolio of modeling
products. The addition of waves, tides and ocean carbon
variables satisfies more adequately user needs in the
industry, academia and public sectors. Many validation
metrics have also been introduced, providing more intuitive
forecast quality measures. The resolution of several
products has increased, such as ice forecasts horizontal
resolution thanks to a standalone sea ice model based on
a new rheology. At the end of the Copernicus 1 period the
products are using the model and assimilation systems
TOPAZ, neXtSIM and WAM.
1. MAIN ACHIEVEMENTS 2015-2021
When Copernicus Services started in 2015, the Arctic
MFC provided four forecasts and reanalyses products of
physical and biogeochemical variables. These products
were based on the TOPAZ system, which leverages
Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) data assimilation
applied to satellite ocean observations (SLA, SST), sea
ice observations (concentration and drift) and in situ T/S
profiles (from Argo and Ice-Tethered Profilers) in a coupled
oahysical-biogeochemical model. Using an advanced EnKF
assimilation algorithm in operational settings is still today
a unique achievement.
The HYbrid vertical Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) was
the ocean model, coupled to the CICE sea ice model using
an Elasto-Viscous-Plastic rheology and coupled online to
the NORWECOM biogeochemical model. All products had a
resolution of 12.5 km or coarser - interpolated to a polar
stereographic projection - and 28 hybrid z-isopycnic layers,
interpolated to 12 “Levitus” vertical levels. There was no
nesting between Global and Arctic systems
1.1 Waves
A pan-Arctic operational wave forecast product (see domain
on Figure 1) has been first setup using the WAM model
zode from the MyWave FP7 project. The code has been
modified by MET Norway to allow wave propagation under
sea ice (Sutherland et al., 2019). Sea ice concentration, ice
thickness and surface currents are all extracted from the
Arctic MFC physical forecast. In 2019, the model horizonta
resolution increased from 8 km to 3 km and two forecasts
were run daily with an horizon of 5 and 10 days respectively.
A wave hindcast was later added to the CMEMS catalogue
at 3 km resolution with an updated version of WAM. It
included new physics, a mean wavenumber and mean
“frequency reformulation as well as a new method to
detect freak waves. The code has been enhanced as wel
by correcting wave growth in very high winds and by
allowing wave propagation under sea ice. A sub-grid scale
aarametrization of “obstructions” is used. On the surface,
NAMis forced by hourly winds merging the ERA5 reanalysis
and a local refinement (shown as the rectangle in Figure 1}
by a 2.5 km non-hydrostatic convection-permitting model
"he wave products are exploited for navigation purposes.
support to offshore operations and downscaling to coasta
wave models, among other uses. The 3 km resolution
products provides high enough quality to fill the mandate
of the Norwegian preparedness services (search and
rescue, oil spill response) and superseded pre-existing
national systems