a
ii
hf
HARRIS, €.
Met Office, FitzRov Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
DVEN IE
The Global Coupled Monitoring and Forecasting Centre (GLO-
CPL) provides a single product in the CMEMS catalogue
which differs from the other near-real-time global physical
products in that the marine forecasts are delivered from the
NEMO ocean component of a coupled ocean-atmosphere
system. Details of this system and how it is initialized have
changed significantly during Copernicus 1 (see below) and a
further upgrade is nearly ready. However, ocean resolution
remains at %° and there are still neither biogeochemical
nor wave components in the system. Datasets delivered to
users every day include: daily mean temperature, salinity,
sea surface height, currents, mixed layer depth, and sea
ice concentration and thickness (provided for both analysis
and 10 days of forecast). Since July 2017, datasets have
been complemented by: hourlv instantaneous sea surface
height, sea surface temperature and surface currents. The
analysis is updated the following day to make use of late-
arriving observations.
The operational GLO-CPL system has been upgraded
regularly during Copernicus 1 to make the best use of both
ıNn-situ and new satellite observations (particularly
Sentinel-3) and ensure continued robustness. Following an
upgrade introducing weakly coupled data assimilation to
initialise the GLO-CPL forecasts, work during the later part
of the period has focussed on a future transition to a
combined ocean forecasting and weather prediction
system. This will benefit from a higher resolution
atmosphere, as well as providing potential opportunities
for ensemble forecasting and, ultimately, more strongly
coupled data assimilation.
1. MAIN ACHIEVEMENTS
At the start of Copernicus 1, the GLO-CPL product was
delivered from two separate systems. Forecasts were
provided from the Met Office GloSeab coupled seasonal
forecast system (MacLachlan et al., 2015) while analyses
came from the FOAM ocean-only system (Blockley et al.,
2014) which is the same system used to initialise the ocean
ın GloSeab. These systems shared an almost identical
ocean and sea ice science configuration (using the NEMO
model coupled to the multi-thickness-category sea ice
model CICE), with the FOAM global ocean configuration
being forced (using CORE bulk formulae to specify the
surface boundary condition) by Met Office globa
atmospheric Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) fields.
"he NEMO global ocean configuration used the tripolar
IRCA025 grid (with a 1/4° or 28 km horizontal grid spacing
at the equator, reducing to 7 km at high southern latitudes,
and -10 km iin the Arctic Ocean). The scientific configuration
>f the Met Office Unified Model used as the atmosphere
component of the GloSeab system was near identical to
the NWP system providing the FOAM forcing fields,
although the latter had a higher resolution (+17 km rather
than -50 km). The main disadvantage of this system was
*hat only the ocean forecast was delivered from an
ınteractively coupled ocean-atmosphere system. This
meant there was a high overhead in keeping uncoupled
and coupled systems scientifically consistent to reduce the
likelihood of initialisation shocks between uncoupled
analyses and coupled forecasts. Control over diagnostics
provided from the forecasts was also more limited due to
the use of the GloSeab system.
The most significant upgrade during Copernicus 1 was in
July 2017 with the introduction of a ‘weakly coupled’ data
assimilation system (Lea et al., 2015; Guiavarc'h et al,
2019) to initialise the coupled forecasts. These are now
oroduced from a new integrated operational svstem rather