To generalize (8), we consider the shear-free convection
case once for the case without vertical temperature differences
(heat number = 0) and once for the case without vertical salin-
ity differences (salinity number = 0). From this consideration,
minimum values a, and a; result for the heat number or the
salinity number. Due to reasons of symmetry, a; = a; = dj.
so that (9) becomes
dh > ds >aps
in the case with double diffusion.
4 Model results
The main motivation for the investigation of this problem was
the occurrence of unrealistic surface currents during a storm
event in the CMEMS-Baltic MFC NRT-forecast product ver-
sion 1 (Fig. 1, right side), which did not occur anymore after
including stability and realizability criteria described in
Chapter 3 and the following change to product version 3
(Fig. 1, left side). Of course, these criteria were not the only
difference between version 1 and version 3, so that the com-
parison ofthese versions is not suitable for demonstrating their
influence. Therefore, this is demonstrated in the following by
using the operational BSH setup during a storm event in
December 2013, whereby the model runs only differ in their
different turbulence closure schemes.
4.1 (Physical) model validation
By chance, temporary unrealistic surface currents during a
storm event in December 2013 were also discovered in the
operational setup of the BSH (Fig. 2, left column). The fact
that the water levels at the tide gauges were simulated
Fig. 1 (taken from CMEMS 66°N
(n.d.)) Surface currents for V3
and V1 products: direction are
shown in arrows; magnitude is
coloured; snapshot during strong
wind event (13 December 2014 4 63°N
UTC)
HBM V3 prodı"
50°N
Ocean Dynamics
correctly led to the conclusion that the water transports as a
whole were correct, but the turbulence scheme in this situation
was locally not correctly solved or unstable. The assumption
that this was a local instability was also confirmed by the €-
test (see Chapter 4.2).
Moreover, the assumption was confirmed by looking at the
current and eddy diffusivity profiles at 6.55° E/55.58° N
(Fig. 3, left column). Tests with Canuto et al. (2010)-based
closure schemes (Figs. 2 and 3, middle and right column)
show that all used closure schemes provide comparable cur-
rent patterns before the peak of the storm and therefore in a
more or less common situation (Figs. 2 and 3, first row). The
Jdiffusivity profiles of the closure schemes without explicit
realizability and stability checks, on the other hand, already
look partly nonphysical (Fig. 3, first row, left and middle
column). In the described storm case, the diffusivity profiles
{hen appear to become completely unstable, so that a clear
stratification of the currents occurs at a depth of approximately
5-20 m. While enormous surface currents are directed to-
wards the east, the water flows into the opposite direction at
depth, so that the entire water transport fits again. Realistic
oarofiles and current patterns in all situations are only achieved
with a closure scheme that has been extended by stability and
realizability criteria (10), (11) and (12) described in
Chapter 3.2 (Fig. 2 and 3, right column).
4.2 g-Tests/technical model validation
The e-test is an originally technical test in which the results of
short model runs (e.g. 24-h simulation) are compared, the only
difference between these runs being the compiling of the
source code. It is done with different compilers and/or with a
different set of compiler flags. The results of these runs are
compared point by point, and the maximum differences are
the £’s, where small £’s indicate both technically and
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