R. Periäfiez et al.
Environmental Modelling and Software 122 (2019) 104523
Water
Phytoplankton
Zooplankton
Non-
piscivorous
fish
Piscivorous
fish
Fig. 6. Scheme of radionuclide transfer (arrows) in a dynamic food chain model (from Maderich et al., 2014a).
comprises two compartments describing fast and slow uptake and
depuration rates, which allows a better description of the temporal
variations of radionuclide concentrations after an accidental release.
Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic multi-compartmental models
(Thomann et al., 1997) have an interesting potential. In these models
well-mixed compartments correspond to the fish organs/tissues or
groups of organs/tissues according to specific metabolic functions.
The kinetics of exchange is first order, and transport between com-
partments is governed by blood flux. However, these models require
many parameters, which should be calibrated from controlled ex-
periments. Therefore, this approach was rarely used in radioecology
"Garnier-Laplace et al., 2000).
Dynamic food web models can be included within a marine disper-
sion model in order to simulate radionuclide concentrations in biota at
oceanic scales. Thus, previous equations must be included in the marine
transport model. They are solved for each grid cell in the domain.
From the calculated concentration in water, Eqs. (19) and (20) provide
‚adionuclide concentrations in each grid cell, time and species.
This work was recently carried out in MODARIA-II program (Per-
läfiez et al., 2019): 137Cs concentrations in phytoplankton, zooplank-
‘on, non-piscivorous and piscivorous fish were calculated over the
Whole north Pacific Ocean up to two years after the Fukushima acci-
dent. Several transport models with different models for biota uptake
were applied and results compared with measurements in water, sedi-
ment and biota (zooplankton and fish). Three types of biological uptake
nodels were tested: an equilibrium model based on a concentration
‚ratio, the dynamic model described here and an allometry method,
Dynamic models provided the known patterns of delayed rise of activity
zoncentration in biota, Details may be seen in the cited reference.
A more complex model of 14C transfer in the marine trophic web
was recently described by Tierney et al. (2018). However, advection
was treated in a limited way and measurement data could not be
‘‚eproduced in some areas.
As a resume, a compilation of the basic characteristics of some
radionuclide marine transport models are listed in Tables 4-6 for, re-
spectively, transport models linked with hydrodynamic models, stand-
alone radionuclide transport models which import water circulation,
and box models; including all the previously cited characteristics.
In general, equilibrium or dynamic models may be used to describe
water/sediment interactions and biota uptake. The main advantages
and disadvantages of each approach are discussed in Section 5.5.
Fig. 7 presents a scheme of the modelling procedures, The hydrody-
namic model provides water currents which are required by Eulerian
and Lagrangian models for simulating physical transport (advection
and diffusion). Box models need water fluxes which are deduced from
>bservations and/or calculated from water currents. Bio-geochemical
orocesses (water/sediment interactions and uptake of radionuclides by
>iota) may be described by equilibrium or dynamic models, In general,
‘he equilibrium approach is used in box models, since long temporal
scales are simulated with them. In contrast, dynamic models are more
frequently used in Eulerian and Lagrangian models. Suspended matter
concentrations and sedimentation rates may also be required if radionu-
elide interactions with suspended particulate matter are included. Mean
values of these magnitudes, deduced from observations, are generally
used in box models. Values calculated with a sediment transport mode]
{which can be Eulerian or Lagrangian) are more often used in Eulerian
and Lagrangian radionuclide transport models. The physical transport
model, with the added bio-geochemical model, provides radionuclide
concentrations in water, sediment and biota species.
4. Models applied to simulate and estimate Fukushima releases in
the Pacific Ocean
Significant amounts of radioactive material were released to the
environment from FDNPP as a consequence of the March 2011 earth-
quake and tsunami. Radionuclides released to the atmosphere were
transported eastwards by a jet stream, and they reached the coast of
North America in four days (Takemura et al., 2011). Some of these
tadionuclides were deposited on the Pacific Ocean surface by wet
and dry processes. In addition, water used to cool a damaged nuclear
reactor directly leaked into the ocean (Kobayashi et al., 2013). Since
most of the recent efforts in modelling marine radionuclide dispersion
were focused in Fukushima releases in the Pacific Ocean, a brief review
of some of the models applied to this problem is included. A review on
Aispersion patterns of!?7Cs released from Fukushima in the Pacific de-
rived from field measurements (not models) may be seen in Kaeriyama
2017).
The first modelling studies into the dispersion of Fukushima releases
in the Pacific Ocean were published soon after the accident. Thus, the
spreading of !911 and !97Cs using the Lagrangian model SEA-GEARN,
developed at JAEA, was simulated by Kawamura et al. (2011). A
Lagrangian code was applied to simulate the dispersion of 137Cs and
$4Cs in the world ocean up to 30 years after the accident (Nakano
and Povinec, 2012). Annually averaged water circulation was used
for this purpose. The dispersion of !97Cs, using a high resolution (1
km) regional Eulerian model, during the first three months after the
accident was simulated by Tsumune et al. (2012). Later, simulations
were extended to one year in Tsumune et al. (2013).
Ten year long simulations of !97Cs dispersion in the Pacific Ocean
were also performed by Behrens et al. (2012). Water circulation of the
past 10 years was used for this purpose. They found that the initial
current field was relevant for !97Cs spreading in the first months after
the aceident, but this relevance fades in the long-term. Also, these
authors found that concentrations would be nearly homogeneous over
the whole Pacific after some 10 years. Simulations finally indicated a
fast mixing over the upper 500 m of the water column. Similar results
were found by other authors (Kawamura et al., 2014): radioactive
caesium concentration was efficiently diluted in the North Pacific 2.5
years after the accident. The meso-scale eddies in the Kuroshio Exten-
sion (see Fig. 4) played an important role in diluting the radioactive