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prediction of water currents. Further research into this type of modelling for emergency
preparedness and response purposes is therefore clearly required.
It may be concluded that the dispersion models used in the Baltic Sea and Pacific Ocean
radiological scenarios are effective tools, but results are sensitive to the hydrodynamic forcing
in energetic regions characterized by strong current variability. Where possible, it is clear that
local forecasts of marine circulation ought to be used for emergency modelling [78].
A multi-model approach, as described here and in other international modelling projects [79],
may be valuable when environmental processes are complex. Through this approach, the
predictions that obtain the greatest degree of consensus among modellers are made evident and
the aspects that are subject to disagreement, and which ought therefore to be handled carefully,
also become clear.