FOREWORD
Models are essential tools for evaluating radiological impacts within the safety assessment
process and for regulatory control of nuclear facilities and activities in planned, existing and
emergency exposure situations. Modelling the fate of radionuclides in the environment and
assessing the resulting radiation doses to people and the environment is needed, for example,
for evaluating the radiological relevance of routine and accidental releases of radionuclides, for
decision making during remediation activities, in the framework of long term safety
assessments of nuclear waste disposal facilities, and for clearance and exemption of material
with low levels of radioactivity from the need for regulatory control.
The IAEA has been organizing programmes of international model testing since the 1980s.
These programmes have contributed to a general improvement in models, in the transfer of data
and in the capabilities of modellers in Member States. IAEA publications on this subject over
the past three decades demonstrate the comprehensive nature of the programmes and record the
associated advances that have been made.
From 2012 to 2015, the IAEA implemented the Modelling and Data for Radiological Impact
Assessments (MODARIA) programme, which concentrated on testing the performance of
models; developing and improving models for particular environments; reaching consensus on
datasets that are generally applicable in environmental transfer models; and providing an
international forum for the exchange of experience, ideas and research information.
Different aspects were addressed by ten working groups within MODARIA, covering four
thematic areas: remediation of contaminated areas; uncertainties and variability; exposures and
effects on biota; and marine modelling. This publication describes the work of Working
Group 10, Modelling of Marine Dispersion and Transfer of Radionuclides Accidentally
Released from Land-based Facilities.
The IAEA is grateful to all those who participated in Working Group 10, in particular its leader,
R. Periá?ez (Spain). The IAEA officers responsible for this publication were P. McGinnity of
the IAEA Environment Laboratories, and A. Kennedy and D. Telleria of the Division of
Radiation, Transport and Waste Safety.