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FIG. 4. 137Cs (Bq/m3) in surface water of the Baltic Sea in October 1986 interpolated
from measurements.
2.3. MODELLING EXERCISE
2.3.1. Previous modelling studies
Despite the large amount of radionuclide data generated for the Baltic Sea, mainly in the period
since the Chornobyl accident on 26 April 1986, relatively few modelling studies on radionuclide
transport have been carried out for this environment.
A one dimensional (1-D) vertical dispersion model was used to explain the distribution of Cs
isotopes in the water column of the central Bothnian Sea for the first 6 months after the accident
[26] and a box model was later applied to 137Cs and 90Sr [27]. Very local applications within
the Baltic Sea have been described for 14C [28] and for isotopes of Ni, Cs and Th [29]. A
Lagrangian model has been described and then applied to 137Cs deposition over the whole Baltic
but on a very limited time window [30]. More recently, 137Cs transport has been studied with
the box model implemented within the MOIRA-PLUS decision system [31]. A blind
application was first carried out (using model default parameters) and, later, model output was
improved by tuning parameters.