Figure 8. Comparison of model predictions and German
aircraft data
Additionally, Fig. 8 compares the predicted particle
clouds and drift paths generated by Level-1 and Level-II
processing. The shift in the drift paths results mainly
from the different centre coordinates delivered by
EMSA and REviSED due to the different algorithms
used. The red star shows the centre of mass of the
particle cloud calculated by the REviSED algorithm,
whereas the orange star represents the center of a
bounding box enclosing the EMSA sliapefile. Though
the predicted Level-II particle cloud and the aircraft
observation do not overlap, the predicted distribution for
Level-II processing at the aircraft overflight time
reproduces the shape of the pollution actually observed
by the aircraft much better than the Level-1 model result.
During the remaining time of the project, the available
set of similar pairs of remote sensing observations will
be analysed systematically for validation purposes.
7. SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK
Using the developed methods and tools for combining
the near-real time remote sensing data with the drift
model, the model input and the predicted particle
distributions are significantly improved and the
procedures become to a higher degree automatic.
Further, the drift output is earlier available as a source
of information for the operational oil spill combat. In
addition, the remote sensing data can serve as validation
data for the drift model and thus provide valuable
feedback for the further development and for the
assessment of the model. Additionally, the results of this
subproject will contribute to the further development of
SeaTrack Web [16] which is the official HELCOM drift
forecasting system commonly developed by SMHI
(Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute),
DaMSA (Danish Maritime Safety Administration) and
BSH.