KLIWAS
Seite 16
KLIWAS
Project 1.03:
Atmospheric and
Oceanic Reference
Data and Climate
Projections for
Coastal and Open
Sea Areas
The differences between the monthly mean wind speed of ERA-40 and the RCMs
have no systematic behaviour (see Fig. 3.3.14): There is no seasonal cycle in the dif
ferences and there are positive as well as negative deviations.
However, the comparisons with ERA-40 do not provide the conclusion that wind
fields of one specific RCM give more realistic results than others. One reason is the
reliability of the ERA-40 wind fields over the North Sea. This is due to the fact that
validations of wind speed over sea are difficult because of the lack of suitable obser
vational data. One reason for that is the spatially varying friction, wherefore it is
problematic to compare the point measurements from the observations with the spa
tial averages provided by models (e.g. ERA-40 grid 1.125° x 1.125°). Wind fields
derived from satellite data reflect the spatial pattern of observed wind fields quite
well, However, they are not available for a period long enough to calculate reliable
climatological averages. Nevertheless, the 10 year mean of wind speeds over the
North Sea, calculated from QuikScat data show very similar structures and velocities
compared to ERA-40 fields (see Fig. 3 in Hasager et al. 2010). Comparisons of wind
speeds from satellite observations and in situ data for short periods of one year (Win-
terfeldt et al.; 2010) show that root-mean-square errors of satellite data compared to
buoy measurements are roughly in the range of 1.5 m/s - 2.36 m/s, depending on the
satellite product. The differences between ERA-40 and RCM wind fields are in the
same range, which means that the results are in the same range as the uncertainties the
of the observed wind fields.
3.4 Wind Direction
Since wind is a vector property its direction has also to be considered in terms of im
pact on the ocean state. Wind direction is the direction from which wind is blowing,
contrary to ocean currents. It is reported in the normal geographical coordinate sys
tem, e.g. south wind reported as 180°. As described in chapter 3.3, wind is caused by
pressure differences. The wind blows roughly parallel to the isobars, surrounding
high pressure systems clockwise and low pressure systems counter clockwise on the
Northern hemisphere. However, it is directed away from the high and towards the low
pressure region with an angle that depends on the roughness of the underlying sur
face.
The 30-year mean of the wind direction was evaluated from the means of wind com
ponents of the model output (Fig. 3.4.1) Due to the lower mean pressure being cen
tred in the northwestern part of the North Sea area (see Fig. 3.2.1), southwestern
winds prevail in this region. This can roughly be found in the wind fields of all mod
els (Fig. 3.4.1). However, some of the ENSEMBLES regional models deviate dis
tinctly from the mean wind direction of ERA-40, as the prevailing wind direction in
these models is west instead of southwest.