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Full text: Looking beyond stratification: a model-based analysis of the biological drivers of oxygen deficiency in the North Sea

2524 
F. Große et al.: Looking beyond stratification 
Biogeosciences, 13, 2511-2535, 2016 
www.biogeosciences.net/13/2511/2016/ 
3°E 6°E 9° E 12° E 3° VV 
1 
0.9 
0.8 
0.7 -Ö 
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’ 3° Е 0° Е 9° Е 12° Е 
Figure 7. Spatial distribution of oxygen deficiency index (ODI) according to Eq. (5 ) for the years 2002 (a) and 2010 (b). 
of about 40 m, while the regions deeper than 90 m (C and D) 
show a weaker decrease. 
Net advection of organic matter, which is not taken into 
account in the ODI, appears to be of minor importance for 
subsurface O2 relative to the local surface production as the 
net advective input of organic matter is significantly less than 
the local production. The O2 concentrations at the beginning 
of the stratified period were also not taken into account as 
they show lower values in regions with higher minimum con 
centrations and vice versa. 
In summary, the ODI represents well the spatial and tem 
poral variations of minimum bottom O2 concentrations de 
spite the small set of controlling factors. This confirms that 
a simple combination of only stratification duration, organic 
matter production and bottom depth is sufficient to repro 
duce the main spatial and temporal patterns of the minimum 
bottom O2 in the seasonally stratified North Sea. Thus, the 
findings from Table 1 can be applied to most parts of the 
North Sea. In addition, the similarity of the ODI inside the 
regions analysed in Sect. 3.3.1 and inside the regions selected 
for the mass balance analyses (see Fig. 2, regions 2-4) and 
their surrounding areas shows that these regions can be con 
sidered as representative, allowing for a meaningful analysis 
of the O2 dynamics in these regions. 
3.4 Driving mechanisms and year-to-year variability of 
sub-thermocline O2 dynamics 
The previous analyses showed that stratification constitutes 
a necessary condition for O2 deficiency, but year-to-year 
variations especially in the biological factors mainly control 
the O2 dynamics. For a better understanding of the processes 
controlling sub-thermocline O2 a more detailed analysis is 
provided by the mass balances in Fig. 8. As the bottom O2 
dynamics are also influenced by the processes in the mid 
water, Fig. 8a and b show the O2 mass balances for the sub- 
MLD volume (V su b) in region 3 (see Fig. 2) for the years 
2002 and 2010, respectively. 
The stratification characteristics are similar for both years 
with an average MLD of about 15 m and a stratification pe 
riod (grey area) of 187 days in both years, only differing by 
a later onset (and breakdown) of stratification in 2010. The 
temporal evolution of the MLD (dash-dotted grey) is also 
similar, with deeper MLDs at the beginning and end of the 
stratified period and few events of enhanced mixing during 
the summer months (May to August). 
The sub-MLD O2 concentration (solid magenta) at 
the beginning of the stratified period in 2002 is about 
9.81 mgCLL -1 , being about 0.33 mgCLL -1 lower than 
in 2010. At the end of stratification, the 2002 value of 
6.85 mgCLL -1 is about 0.81 mg CLL -1 lower than in 2010. 
In 2002, the clearly diverging temporal evolution of sim 
ulated O2 and the corresponding saturation concentrations 
(CL,sat. dash-dotted magenta) reveals that the different O2 
evolution is caused not only by decreasing CL solubility. 
Hence, other factors must play an important role for the CL 
evolution below the MLD. 
3.4.1 The influence of advection and mixing 
The comparison of advection (ADVo,; including horizon 
tal and vertical components; dashed light blue) and verti 
cal mixing (MIXo,; turbulent diffusion; dashed dark blue) 
for the years 2002 and 2010 shows strong variations be 
tween the 2 years. ADVo, regularly changes its influence 
on the sub-MLD CL concentrations during stratification in 
both years. However, considering the temporally integrated 
effect, ADVo, causes a net gain of about 25.8 gCLm -2 in 
2002, whereas in 2010 it results in a slight net loss in CL. 
Advection positively affects the CL concentrations dining the 
last 2-3 weeks of the stratified period in both years and even 
causes a net CL increase in 2002.
	        
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