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Full text: Uncertainty estimation for operational ocean forecast products

Ocean Dynamics 
£) Springer 
reasonable coverage of the North Sea and Baltic Sea. The 
comparison with satellite observations has given the oppor 
tunity to evaluate the real spread between the forecasts. 
Comparisons of SSS and SSC forecasts to in situ data would 
yield important information about RMSD. In the future, it 
could be useful to assess weighting to the individual fore 
casts based on either model resolution or based on model 
performance as a result of model validation done by each 
institute. At present, a MME of sea bottom salinity and sea 
bottom temperature is being developed, which can give the 
opportunity to study stratification issues, especially in the 
Transition Area between North Sea and Baltic Sea. 
Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank Inge Menzenhauer- 
Schumacher who designed and created the webpages for the MME on the 
NOOS and BOOS website. Many thanks also to Simon Jandt who sup 
ported the comparison of satellite data with the MATLAB CalVal Toolbox. 
E.W. Blockley and A. Sellar would like to thank Rachel Fumer, who has 
helped with providing the NOOS transects data for the Met Office. 
Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative 
Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http:// 
creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, 
distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appro 
priate credit to the original authors) and the source, provide a link to the 
Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. 
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