5 
» 1.0 
} 
== WARNEMUNDE _2 ipc 
WARNEMUNDE_2 Dat 
"URUOGRUND ipcc. 
FURUOGRUND DAS 
HELSINK] ipcc 
HELSH 
0.5 
oO 
& 
” 0.0 
-0.5 
A I  HA— - +—— — 
2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 2120 
years 
7140 
FIGURE3 | Time series of sea level change [m] relative to 1995-2014 from IPCC AR6 (dashed line/grey area) and DASNordicSLR (solid line/co 
loured area) including respective likely ranges (16.7th—83.3th percentile as shaded area) for the grid point nearest to stations WARNEMUNDE_2 
FURUOGRUND and HELSINKI in scenario SSP5-8.5. 
5 | Conclusions 
This paper presents new sea level projections for Northern 
Europe by optimising the IPCC AR6 projections with a more 
suitable regional vertical land motion model (NKG2016LU). 
This approach results in a higher resolution dataset, providing 
crucial information for effective planning and risk management. 
This work is based on the assumption that the vertical land mo- 
tion represented in NKG2016LU persists at a constant rate and 
is therefore not time dependent. A future improvement would 
involve incorporating an updated NKG model once a version 
with time-dependent land uplift becomes available. In addition, 
an update of the dataset following the release of the next IPCC 
assessment report (AR7) is anticipated. 
Acknowledgements 
The research presented in this paper was funded by the German Federal 
Ministry of Transport (BMV) in the context of the BMV Research 
Network as well as the DAS core service ‘climate and water’. The au- 
thors are also grateful to the German Federal Agency for Cartography 
and Geodesy (BKG), namely Dr. Schroeder and Dr. Liebsch, for consul- 
tation. Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. 
Funding 
This work was supported by Bundesministerium für Verkehr (BMV). 
Conflicts of Interest 
The authors declare no conflicts of interest. 
Data Availability Statement 
The full dataset associated with this study is publicly available and can 
Je accessed through BSH at https://doi.bsh.de/10.60751/3x97-gp60. 
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