8 © N. SÜHRING ET AL.
movements alongside increasingly harsh and unpredict-
able weather conditions. As reported above, though
weather forecasting has improved in recent years, infor-
mants perceived that weather patterns are changing
more rapidly, making it more difficult to predict the
weather. According to informants, the established
knowledge of weather patterns has to be adjusted con-
stantly, and seventy-two-hour forecasts that could be
used in the past are not precise enough anymore. The
ıncreasing unpredictability of the weather could even:
tually increase the risk to people at sea. On the other
hand, it was also noted in interviews that people who
work in the marine industries have already adapted to
monitoring the weather more carefully and are thus
usually able to prepare for storms in a timely manner.
It was also mentioned that though fishermen usually
do not risk going out when bad weather is forecast, there
can always be miscalculations for one reason or another,
and this can be partially attributed to the management
systems. As several informants noted, the individual
transferable quota (ITQ) system is based on yearly
catch allowances, so it is possible that there is reduced
pressure for fishers to go out to sea during bad weather.
For those with sufficient quota, it is not a major stress on
che fishing operation to take a few days off fishing due to
bad weather. However, in the summer coastal fishery,
fishers are constrained by daily catch limits and may feel
pressure to fish in adverse weather. In this fishery, each
boat is given forty-eight days within a four-month time
period, but the overall quota for the fishery is often
reached before the forty-eight days, so there is pressure
to go fishing before the quota limit is reached.
Other informants highlighted that even though they
were aware of the adverse effects of climate change, such
as increasing sea temperatures, rising sea levels, or
migrating fish stocks, they were mostly concerned
about the impacts that governmental regulations and
the fisheries management system might have on fish
eries. The concern was expressed that small boats would
be replaced by bigger boats in the future to withstand
adverse weather conditions. Others noted that the cur-
cent discussion within the fishing industry is mostly
focused on issues with the quota system and the problem
of employment, pushing climate change adaptation
needs into the background.
Finally, although it was not a major aim of this study
co address impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on fish-
eries, it was often discussed in interviews, and the
experiences of members of the fisheries industry
throughout the pandemic provided interesting compar-
1sons to potential future climate change threats. For
small-scale processors of fresh fish exports, the hardest
time during the pandemic was when the U.S. market was
closed for three weeks in early 2020 because of the
cancellation of flights. In one example, a small-scale
processing company was able to diversify into frozen
exports but did lose money due to the halting of the
export of fresh fish. Though they did have to slow down
operations and consequently lost money, they managed
to avoid employee layoffs in the processing factory.
Adaptation efforts and needs
Preparedness. During the interviews, several adaptation
efforts and requirements regarding storminess and bad
weather events were mentioned. A small boat fisher
aoted that it is important to take the necessary measures
and prepare the boats well prior to a storm for them to
be safe inside the harbor. It was further mentioned that
it would be important to improve the harbors to prepare
better for storms. Preparedness was also highlighted as
an essential asset in the aquaculture sector. In aquacul-
ture, because it is unsafe to send staff out to secure the
equipment during a storm, the only option is to prepare
well for the storm by using the best available technology
and techniques and thus minimize the impacts.
From the point of view of search and rescue and the
Coast Guard, it was assumed that if storms were to
become more frequent and intense, fishers would still
1ave to go to sea to sustain the fishery, which could
‘esult in an increasing number of rescue/assistance mis-
sions. Irrespective of whether storms and extreme
weather events become more frequent and intense in
‘he future, it was deemed necessary by several infor-
mants to base helicopters in locations additional to the
base in Reykjavik to respond faster in risk situations in
more remote locations. Until the financial resources are
made available to locate helicopters outside Reykjavik, it
will remain important that volunteers from local search
and rescue teams in small remote towns continue to be
able to operate smaller rescue boats.
Flexibility and diversity. Ideas of how to ensure flex-
‘bility and diversity were varied. Some informants pre-
dicted that if the weather changed and people were not
able to fish anymore, the present fisheries management
system based on ITQs would not be able to handle the
potential large changes. Attention was drawn in the
interviews to the need to adapt fisheries management
policies to changing climatic conditions and a potential
decline in fish stocks. Some informants noted that the
expansion of the aquaculture sector could be considered
a buffer against climate change impacts. Other infor-
mants pointed out that both marine fisheries and aqua-
culture businesses are impacted by extreme weather and
ıntense storms similarly and thus share the same climate
change risks.