Ocean Dynamics 
Ô Springer 
showing the ensemble mean of daily vertically integrated transport across transect is colored according to the corresponding C V with green for 
the transects defined by NOOS and BOOS. The arrows indicate the CV< 1, yellow for 1 <CV<3, and purple for CV>3 
magnitude of mean transport across each transect whereas the color of 
ensemble members. In October, extremely large errors occur 
only for BSH HBM and SMHIHIROMBNS03 along the 
eastern British coast. For the remaining months (January- 
April, September, November, and December), the RMSDs 
are relatively low with an even distribution in the whole area. 
No region with large RMSDs can be distinguished. 
4.1.2 Baltic Sea 
The same comparison of SST forecast with satellite observa 
tions is carried out for the Baltic Sea for 2014 and displayed in 
Figs. 11, 12, and 13. The monthly mean biases of the individ 
ual forecasts vary strongly with time ranging between -2.5 
Fig. 8 Monthly mean (a) and 
annual mean ( b) bias of SST from 
the MME mean, MME median, 
and the ensemble members in the 
North Sea in 2014. The 
percentage of available satellite 
data per month is marked as 
dotted line 
■ FCOOJ3ETM 
■ DMIJDKSS 
■ BSH_CMOD 
BSHHBM 
■ SMHI_HIROMB_NS03 
METNO_ROMS 
■ RBINS_OPTOS_NOS 
■ METUK_FOAM 
■ MME Mean 
MME Median