Physical Oceanography
System Nordsee
25
gions. These patterns, in essence, were reflected in the wind sea distributions, too. At
8.9 m/s, mean wind speed in the central North Sea was substantially higher than in
the German Bight because high wind speeds were about 35 % more frequent. Wind
sea on average was 1.3 m, which was 0.3 m higher than in the German Bight. Mean
significant wave heights (including swell) in these areas had a similar ratio of
2.1 : 1.5 m. Peak wind speeds and wind seas were associated with SW - NW winds,
which is typical of the North Sea. Maximum wave heights in the German Bight with all
directions considered were generally lower than in the central North Sea, except for
waves from W. The cause is mainly shorter wind fetch, shallower depths, and lower
wind speeds.
All results are based on model computations.
Sea level (p. 104 sqs.)
Cuxhaven, located at the mouth of the river Elbe which opens to NW, has historically
recorded the highest water levels and most severe storm surges in connection with
NW winds, and the lowest levels with winds from the opposite direction (SE). There
fore, the monthly deviations of high and low water levels from climatological values are
closely related to anomalies in the frequency of NW weather types. The increased oc
currence of such weather types in January and from May through August 2005 led to
above-average water levels. 4 of the 5 storm surges were caused by hurricanes during
the 3-week storm period at the beginning of the year. During the most severe storm
surge on 20 January, the water level rose 343 cm above MSL.
The temporal evolution of high and low water levels since 1970 has shown that, prior
to 1988, exceptionally high water levels occurred almost exclusively in autumn, but
since then preferably during the winter months (Loewe et al. 2006). Trend analyses
were carried out using Q4 surge levels as a storm surge proxy. These surge levels
were defined as the arithmetic mean of the upper 25 % of the high water levels of any
one season sorted in ascending order. The decrease of autumn surge levels by just
under 20 cm in the period from 1970 to 2005 was accompanied by a 50 % reduction
of storm frequency in the North Sea region. Until the early 1990s, Q4 surge levels in
winter had risen by 40 cm. Owing to the comparatively slow downtrend in the time
thereafter, the current (2005) net increase as compared to the early 1970s is about
30 cm, although the frequency of winter storm events in the North Sea region has
dropped to the level of the early 1970s within the same period. This discrepancy is pos
sibly due to the large-scale storm criterion used, for results presented by von Storch
and Weisse (2008) are indicative of the main storm corridor having shifted in such a
way that the southern North Sea continues to be affected by rather large a number of
storms.
Temperature (p. 111 sqs.)
From March to August 2005, the monthly geographic SST distributions showed but mi
nor departures from climatology (1971 - 1993). By contrast, winter and autumn were
characterised by strong large-scale heat anomalies, with temperature deviations in
creasing from NW to SE, intermittently reaching up to 3 К in the German Bight. Spa
tially averaged SSTs in winter (DJF, 7.8 °C), autumn (SON, 13.2 °C) and November
(11.5 °C) rank 3rd, 2nd, and 1st, respectively, in the period from 1969 to 2008. With an
annual mean SST of 10.5 °C, 2005 ranks 11th among the warmest years on record.