Some Ideas on Sea Ice Climate and Navigation in the Baltic Sea
75
difference is 3 ranks. Some possible reasons have already been mentioned, but more detailed
checks are necessary to ‘judge’ on the value of the one or other method. The diagram in
Figure 4 shows at least for both time series the characteristic year to year variations, but of
course for the mean ice extent in a smoothed version.
Region of the northern Baltic Sea
Maximum and mean ice extent by phases
o o c
° ° c
1
.L Lh 1 i ILIlh
1960/61 1965/66 1970/71 19
iu Ilk [ [ fi MifitiJ i
75/76 1980/81 1985/86 1990/91 1S
195/96
ice winter
maximum ice extent □ mean ice extent
Fig. 4. Comparison of the mean ice extent by phases for the northern Baltic Sea and the
maximum ice extent for the period 1960/61 to 1999/2000
Concerning the above diagram as well as table 5 it has again to be considered that the values
for the maximum ice extent are calculated for the Baltic Sea in total, i.e. with contributions from
the southern regions. The comparison can be improved for the more severe winters, if only the
ice cover for the northern region is calculated.
Nevertheless, the use of the ice phases is a good help for the characterization of an ice winter.
In Figurte 5 the columns show the ice extent for the phases 1-9 and 12-20 in comparison to the
development of the ice extent in the winter 2002/03 calculated from the twice weekly ice charts
(Mondays and Thursdays). The graph shows clearly the very rapid ice formation at the
beginning of the winter - related mostly to the Gulf of Finland, which results already in early
January in an ice extent of a nearly average winter. The considerably ice decay later on in
January produces then an about normal ice extent in mid-winter, however, the ice thickness in
the Gulf of Finland staid well above the mean values.