Baltic Sea Ice Climate Workshop 2005
28
Conclusions
The temperature is an essential element for the formation of the ice cover in the Baltic Sea
where the salinity rate is really low. Even if the correlation between the temperature and the ice
thickness is good, statistical analysis show that other climato-marine and anthropogenic factors
have an influence on the spatial and temporal variability of ice growth and melting of sea
waters, and on the movement of the ice pack. It is also necessary to take care of the climatic
study of the past months of a studied moment in order to understand better the evolution of the
ice thickness.
Nevertheless, climato-marine perspectives introduced by some authors show the importance of
the relationship temperature / ice conditions. According to Haapala and Leppàranta (1997),
’’small climatic changes will drastically influence ice conditions”. Some studies have shown that
some parts of the Baltic Sea get less and less ice winters. Could it be a confirmation to a
warming trend? Decrease of the probability of ice occurrence (Jevrejeva, 2004), diminution of
the duration ice season in the Baltic Sea except in the Bay of Bothnia (Haapala, Leppàranta
1997), later date of freezing, earlier date of ice break-up... are previous phenomena for next
winters.
The important role played by the climate on the ice pack is reinforced by other natural
parameters and human activities. But the ice pack has also an influence on the climate
(continentality...) and local ways of life.
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