Baltic Sea Ice Climate Workshop 2005
26
Fig. 2. The relationship between the mean winter season air temperature and maximum of
ice thickness in Virpiniemi (1988-2003)
The ice thickness compared to the frequential distribution of the temperature
The analysis of the relationship between the winter mean air temperature and the maximum ice
thickness gives some explanations to the exceptions. Some winters follow the hypothesis: more
the temperature is low more the ice cover is large.
The winter 2002/03 confirms this hypothesis. The Virpiniemi ice thickness got larger and larger
until March (80 cm). The high winter mean air temperature can be explained because the
months from October to January were very cold (Fig. 3) even if March was one the warmest
month of March of the 50 last years.
The winters 1988/89 and 1991/92 got mean temperatures near -30, but the maximum ice
thickness, in March for both, evaluated differently, respectively 77 cm and 42 cm. The
harshness of the winter and the weakness of snow precipitations are the reasons of an
important thickness of the ice cover in 1988/89. The winter 1991/92 belongs to the 25% of
warmest winters of the second part of the XXe century (Fig.3). The insulating effect of snow
(Flaapala, Lepparanta 1997) has also some consequences on ice layers. In 1999/2000, the
thickness of ice cover was low compared to the temperatures because of the importance of the
snow cover, about 35 cm. The winter 1996/97 was cold, but the ice thickness was only 67 cm
and the snow cover was almost nonexistent. Thus, other reasons than the temperature and the
snow cover could be explained the state of the ice thickness.